:: Running from the Thought Police ::

Reality-Based Thoughts, Ruminations, and Unsolicited Opinions of a University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign student alumnus and employee.
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:: Tuesday, September 21, 2004 ::

Big Mo, With A Grain Of Salt

Wandering over to Electoral-Vote.com, we see that the polls have Kerry gaining back ground. Right now it's Kerry 239, Bush 256, with AR, MD, and FL way too close to call. IA, WI, PA, and NH have returned to the Dem fold, albeit barely. AR was previously Bush territory, so the switch to neutral is definitely good. OH and CO continue to weaken in their support for Bush and may well switch. FL's been swinging back and forth and will likely take either some very decisive news to swing for certain to a candidate before election day. NJ swung GOP somehow, that may be a fluke. WV had appeared to be tending towards Kerry, but that poll appears to have been an outlier. SC bears watching, but the Dems can't count that one yet either. ME is slipping but the trend lines suggest the state will go Kerry

Things are looking better, for now. All that being said, in many places the day to day differences on the website may reflect more the organization that did the last poll as opposed to any real movement - the race is exceedingly close, and margins of error are definitely in play for the polls. Needless to say, we could use some more dark blue states on the map. Talk to your friends and tell them to vote Kerry.

:: The Squire 4:21 PM :: email this post :: ::

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